Gaia Dempsey

Our mission is to build the epistemic infrastructure that will enable the global community to model, understand, predict, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges. We enact our mission by: 1. Providing Forecasts as a Public Service: We freely provide aggregate forecasts on a range of important topics, maintaining a track record of accuracy for each individual and for the community as a whole. 2. Fostering a Global Forecasting Community: We provide a forum for an active, global forecasting community to gather, learn, practice, and grow. 3. Supporting Forecasting Research: We help advance research and innovation in the field of forecasting science by providing access to data and collaborating with researchers in the field. Since 2015, the Metaculus community, team, and platform have aggregated over 800,000 individual predictions on over 6,000 questions about the future trajectory of humanity. Together, our forecasting platform and global community represent a wholly unique initiative in the epistemic technology landscape. Whether you're interested in understanding where the world is going, or making quantitative forecasts yourself, we warmly invite you to join our community.